Vignette draft

Hypotheses addressed

  • H1 (a–d, a2–d2): does exposure to a speaker’s statement move general opinion on the issue, and is that effect stronger among religious respondents? Tested with real speakers vs. placeholder design + “[ISSUE] is an important moral issue” outcome
  • H2 (a–d, a2–d2): does exposure to a speaker’s statement change support of a specific U.S. government policy on the issue, and is that effect stronger among religious respondents? Tested via the “government should address [ISSUE] with public policy” outcome.
  • H3 (a–d, a2–d2): do respondents attribute more authority to a speaker on the religious vs. political dimensions of an issue, and is that moderated by respondent religiosity? Tested with the moral authority attribution outcomes.

Vignette conditions

Each respondent completes four vignette experiments, with one per issue:

  • Immigration
  • Race/diversity
  • International cooperation
  • Environment

The issues are presented in random order. Each issue has one of five possible conditions:

# Condition What the respondent sees
1 Catholic, religious A real statement from a Catholic religious leader
2 Catholic, secular A real statement from a Catholic political figure, secularly framed
3 LDS, religious A real statement from LDS Church leadership
4 LDS, secular A real statement from an LDS political figure, secularly framed
5 Neutral (control) A generic, neutral, non-advocacy placeholder statement

A given respondent might see, for example: Pope Leo on immigration, the neutral placeholder on race/diversity, Mike Lee on international cooperation, and the LDS Church on the environment.

Actual vignettes

TODO: Images for each, with the Vatican Coat of Arms + St. Peter’s, LDS logo + Salt Lake Temple, JD Vance and some Catholic symbol, Mike Lee and shape of Utah?

In particular, I think of our migrant brothers and sisters, who have had to depart their homelands, often leaving their loved ones behind, enduring nights of fear and loneliness, experiencing discrimination and violence firsthand…. Brothers and sisters, those boats which hope to catch sight of a safe port, and those eyes filled with anguish and hope seeking to reach the shore, cannot and must not find the coldness of indifference or the stigma of discrimination.

—Pope Leo XIV, October 5, 2025 [link]

And I do think that those who care about what might be called the common good, they sometimes underweight how destructive immigration at the levels and at the pace that we’ve seen over the last few years is to the common good. I really do think that social solidarity is destroyed when you have too much migration too quickly.

—JD Vance, May 2025 [link]

The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints has long expressed its position that immigration reform should strengthen families and keep them together. The forced separation of children from their parents now occurring at the US-Mexico border is harmful to families, especially to young children. We are deeply troubled by the aggressive and insensitive treatment of these families. While we recognize the right of all nations to enforce their laws and secure their borders, we encourage our national leaders to take swift action to correct this situation and seek for rational, compassionate solutions.

—LDS Newsroom, June 18, 2018 [link]

Americans are footing the bill for illegal immigrants who use public services, benefits, and schools intended for citizens. Law has long required financial penalties for illegal immigrants. … I’m proud to cosponsor [legislation] to double civil financial penalties for illegal immigrants and claw back Americans’ hard-earned money.

—Sen. Mike Lee, June 11, 2026 [link]

Immigration law includes the national statutes, regulations, and legal precedents governing immigration into and deportation from a country. Strictly speaking, it is distinct from other matters such as naturalization and citizenship, although they are sometimes conflated. Countries frequently maintain laws that regulate both the rights of entry and exit as well as internal rights, such as the duration of stay, freedom of movement, and the right to participate in commerce or government.

—Wikipedia, “Immigration law” [link]

The re-appearance of symbols of hatred, such as nooses and swastikas in public spaces, is a tragic indicator of rising racial and ethnic animus.… These attitudes of cultural superiority, indifference, and racism need to be confronted; they are unworthy of any follower of Christ. After all, a large part of our nation consists of immigrants and their descendants.

—United States Conference of Catholic Bishops, November 2018 [link]

They are accomplishing the invasion of the country, that they should love, but of course they don’t. You have to ask yourself who is benefitting from this and who is getting rich from it. And there’s two big answers. First of all, Chamber of Commerce-style Republicans and Democrats who love the cheap labor, who love the fact that these immigrants are displacing America’s workers but also Democrat politicians who have decided that they can’t win re-election in 2022 unless they bring in a large number of new voters to replace the voters who are already here. That’s what this is about. We have an invasion in this country because very powerful people get richer and more powerful because of it. It’s not bad policy. It’s evil and we need to call it that.

—JD Vance, May 16, 2022 [link]

Of course Black lives matter! That is an eternal truth all reasonable people should support. … Thus we condemn racism by any group toward any other group worldwide. … “Favor or disfavor with God is dependent upon your devotion to God and His commandments and not the color of your skin.”

—Dallin H. Oaks, October 27, 2020 [link]

Unconstitutional discrimination disguised as “DEI” has infected our federal government. Awarding government contracts based on race and sex is, simply put, racist and sexist. These policies defy our founding values and waste taxpayer dollars on subpar projects. My bill will end discrimination in government contracting to restore merit-based partnerships, ensuring contractors, businesses, and workers are evaluated not by the color of their skin or gender, but their ability to serve the American people.

—Sen. Mike Lee, April 27, 2026 [link]

Affirmative action is intended to promote the opportunities of defined minority groups within a society to give them equal access to that of the majority population. The philosophical basis of the policy has various rationales, including, but not limited to, compensation for past discrimination, correction of current discrimination, and the diversification of society. It is often implemented in governmental and educational settings to ensure that designated groups within a society can participate in all promotional, educational, and training opportunities.

The stated justification for affirmative action by its proponents is to help compensate for past discrimination, persecution or exploitation by the ruling class of a culture, and to address existing discrimination. In a business environment, increased workforce diversity has been found to be associated with increased performance.

—Wikipedia, “Diversity, equity, and inclusion” [link]

The universe unfolds in God, who fills it completely. Hence, there is a mystical meaning to be found in a leaf, in a mountain trail, in a dewdrop, in a poor person’s face. Standing awestruck before a mountain, we cannot separate this experience from God.

The ecological crisis is also a summons to a profound interior conversion. … Living our vocation to be protectors of God’s handiwork is essential to a life of virtue; it is not an optional or a secondary aspect of our Christian experience. … This conversion calls for a number of attitudes which together foster a spirit of generous care, full of tenderness.

Our efforts at education will be inadequate and ineffectual unless we strive to promote a new way of thinking about human beings, life, society and our relationship with nature. Otherwise, the paradigm of consumerism will continue to advance, with the help of the media and the highly effective workings of the market.

Laudato Si’, May 24, 2015 [link]

We want the environment to be cleaner and safer, but one of the things that I’ve noticed some of our democratic friends talking a lot about is a concern about carbon emissions. This idea that carbon emissions drives all the climate change. Well, let’s just say that’s true, just for the sake of argument, so we’re not arguing about weird science. Let’s just say that’s true. Well, if you believe that, what would you, what would you want to do? The answer is that you’d want to reshore as much American manufacturing as possible and you’d want to produce as much energy as possible in the United States of America because we’re the cleanest economy in the entire world

—JD Vance, October 1, 2024 [link]

[W]e have been provided this beautiful and bountiful world, teeming with life and resources to bless and strengthen and enliven mankind, and we are to use them joyfully—but we must do so as careful, grateful stewards over God’s handiwork. We are to use these resources with judgment, gratitude, prudence, and with an eye to bless our fellow man and woman and those of future generations.

To the degree that religion teaches reverence for God, for His creations, for life, and for our fellowman, it will teach us to care for the environment. In short, the state of the human soul and the environment are interconnected, each affects and influences the other.

—Elder Marcus B. Nash, April 12, 2013 [link]

This is the real solution to climate change: babies. Climate change is an engineering problem—not social engineering but the real kind. It’s a challenge of creativity, ingenuity and, most of all, technological innovation. And problems of human imagination are not solved by more laws. They’re solved by more humans. More people mean bigger markets for more innovation. More babies will mean forward-looking adults, the sort we need to tackle long term, large-scale problems.

The solution to climate change is … the serious business of human flourishing. The solution to so many of our problems, at all times and in all places, is to fall in love, get married and have some kids.

—Sen. Mike Lee, March 26, 2019 [link]

Addressing environmental problems effectively (such as air, water, and soil pollution) requires looking at their connections and underlying and common sources, and how policies addressing particular problems can have spill-over effects on other problems and policies. “The environment” thus became a focus for public policy and environmental policy the term to refer to the way environmental issues were addressed more or less comprehensively.

—Wikipedia, “Environmental policy” [link]

In our time, the weakness of multilateralism is a particular cause for concern at the international level. A diplomacy that promotes dialogue and seeks consensus among all parties is being replaced by a diplomacy based on force, by either individuals or groups of allies. War is back in vogue and a zeal for war is spreading. The principle established after the Second World War, which prohibited nations from using force to violate the borders of others, has been completely undermined. Peace is no longer sought as a gift and a desirable good in itself, or in the pursuit of “the establishment of the ordered universe willed by God, with a more perfect form of justice among men and women.”” Instead, peace is sought through weapons as a condition for asserting one’s own dominion. This gravely threatens the rule of law, which is the foundation of all peaceful civil coexistence.

—Pope Leo XIV, January 9, 2026 [link]

As an American leader, but also just as an American citizen, your compassion belongs first to your fellow citizens. It doesn’t mean you hate people from outside of your own borders, but there’s this old school and I think it’s a very Christian concept, by the way, that you love your family and then you love your neighbor and then you love your community and then you love your fellow citizens in your own country, and then after that you can focus and prioritize the rest of the world. A lot of the far left has completely inverted that. They seem to hate the citizens of their own country. Country and care more about people outside their own borders. That is no way to run a society.

—JD Vance, January 29, 2025 [link]

Our long-time collaboration with the World Food Programme allows us to foster hope and self-reliance amidst adversity. By leveraging our combined resources and expertise, we are able to make a difference in the lives of those facing food insecurity. Inspired by the teachings and ministry of Jesus Christ, we strive to follow His example in feeding the hungry and caring for those in need.

—Gérald Caussé, April 18, 2025 [link]

The U.N. does a lot of bad things. And if it can’t even do a good thing as simple as condemning war crimes, it’s over between us. I want to be clear about this. NOT. ONE. MORE. DOLLAR. NOT. ONE. MORE. CENT.

—Mike Lee, October 30, 2023 [link]

In international relations, multilateralism refers to an alliance of multiple countries pursuing a common goal. Multilateralism is based on the principles of inclusivity, equality, and cooperation, and aims to foster a more peaceful, prosperous, and sustainable world. … One of the key advantages of multilateralism is that it enables countries to solve problems that transcend national boundaries, such as climate change, terrorism, and pandemics, through shared responsibility and burden-sharing.

—Wikipedia, “Multilateralism” [link]

Outcome questions

(1 = Very unfavorable · 7 = Very favorable)
Question 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
To what extent do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of [SPEAKER] as a moral authority?
(1 = No authority at all, 5 = A great deal of authority)
Question 1 2 3 4 5
How much authority does [SPEAKER] have to speak on religious aspects of [ISSUE]
How much authority does [SPEAKER] have to speak on religious aspects of any moral issue?
How much authority does [SPEAKER] have to speak on political aspects of [ISSUE]
How much authority does [SPEAKER] have to speak on political aspects of any moral issue?

Explain why you think [SPEAKER] has or doesn’t have the authority to speak about this issue in public

TEXTBOX HERE

To what extent do you support the following statements? (1 = Strongly oppose · 7 = Strongly support)
Question 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
[ISSUE] is an important moral issue.
The U.S. government should address [ISSUE] with public policy.